NeuroRehab Team
Thursday, July 17th, 2025
Understanding the natural trajectory of upper-limb motor recovery after stroke is essential for setting realistic goals and optimizing rehabilitation.
Kolmos et al.’s recent systematic review and meta-analysis synthesizes outcomes from usual-care groups to quantify expected gains on two gold-standard measures: the Fugl-Meyer Assessment of Upper Extremity (FMA-UE) and the Action Research Arm Test (ARAT) during the subacute phase of recovery.
These benchmarks provide clinicians with an evidence-based reference point for tracking progress and help researchers design adequately powered clinical trials.
Each year, more than 13 million people experience a stroke worldwide. Nearly half of survivors live with persistent arm and hand paresis that limits independence and quality of life.
Advanced interventions such as constraint-induced movement therapy, robotics, and neuromodulation receive significant attention. However, usual care remains the foundation of rehabilitation globally.
Until recently, clinicians lacked consolidated data describing what “typical” recovery looks like under standard rehabilitation conditions.
Benchmarks matter because they help answer key questions:
The review aimed to:
Reliable recovery estimates allow therapists to counsel patients more accurately and enable researchers to calculate appropriate sample sizes for future trials.
Following PRISMA guidelines, the authors searched major databases through December 2024 for studies reporting FMA-UE or ARAT scores at two or more time points in usual-care groups.
Inclusion criteria required:
Thirty-five randomized trials and nineteen observational cohorts were included, totaling nearly 2,800 participants.
Meta-analysis calculated mean changes in FMA-UE and ARAT scores at 4, 12, and 24 weeks post-stroke.
Meta-regression explored the influence of baseline motor severity, corticospinal tract lesion burden, and initial functional scores.
Recovery follows a nonlinear but predictable trajectory during the subacute phase.
Importantly, the minimal clinically important difference for FMA-UE is approximately 5 points. This means most patients achieve clinically meaningful improvement within the first month.
FMA-UE gains average approximately +12 points from baseline.
FMA-UE gains reach approximately +16 points on average.
Recovery is most rapid early and slows over time, consistent with known neuroplasticity patterns.
Baseline impairment strongly predicts recovery magnitude.
Patients with mild to moderate deficits improve faster and achieve larger gains than those with severe paresis.
Higher initial FMA-UE scores and smaller corticospinal tract lesion volumes were associated with better outcomes.
This reinforces the importance of early assessment and realistic prognostic counseling.
Benchmarks allow therapists to establish data-driven SMART goals. For example, a patient with moderate impairment might reasonably target a 10-point FMA-UE improvement within the first month.
Patients predicted to recover more slowly may benefit from increased dosage or adjunctive strategies such as mental practice, task-specific training, or neuromuscular electrical stimulation.
Comparing individual progress against benchmark curves helps identify deviations early. Slower-than-expected improvement should prompt reassessment of intensity, adherence, comorbidities, or secondary complications such as spasticity.
Usual care varied across countries and settings in therapy content and intensity. This introduces heterogeneity into pooled results.
The findings apply specifically to subacute hemiparetic stroke within six months of onset. Chronic stroke trajectories may differ substantially.
Clinicians should apply benchmarks thoughtfully within the context of individual patient characteristics.
To apply these findings clinically:
Standardized measurement strengthens clinical reasoning and supports evidence-based decision making.
Future research should focus on:
Upper limb recovery after stroke follows a measurable trajectory during the first six months.
Under usual care, clinicians can expect approximately 10 FMA-UE points at four weeks and up to 16 points by 24 weeks on average.
Using these benchmarks enables more precise goal setting, better therapy planning, and improved research design.
Objective measurement is not optional in modern stroke rehabilitation. It is the foundation for optimizing outcomes.